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NFL Trust Dashboard

Every NFL call the platform made, graded at the line and price it was made at, with its withdrawal when the number moved. Recorded by the pick ledger from 2026-09-10; one row is reconstructed from the 2026-09-04 measurement and is labeled R.

Variance disclosure. The NFL sample is one week old. A 17-game season is too small to declare any signal working or broken; treat this page as a ledger, not a calibration claim, until three seasons of out-of-sample picks exist.
5-2 graded picks · P&L +280.49 on flat $100 stakes · ROI +40.1%

Graded calls

NFL graded calls from the pick ledger.
MadeGameMarket CallPriceProb SizingResultFinal CloseCLV
Sep 19 Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos Spread AWAY +2.5
withdrawn at +2.5
 +105 58.0% BET not counted 13-20 -2.5 +0.0 pts
Sep 19 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Spread HOME -5.5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -108 61.0% BET not counted 3-20 -4.5 -1.0 pts
Sep 19 Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints Spread HOME -3
withdrawn at -3
 -108 57.5% BET not counted 35-27 -3.5 +0.5 pts
Sep 19 Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons Spread AWAY -3
withdrawn at -3
 +100 64.9% BET not counted 34-3 2.5 -0.5 pts
Sep 19 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Spread HOME -5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -105 61.6% BET not counted 3-20 -4.5 -0.5 pts
Sep 19 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Spread HOME -1.5
withdrawn at -1.5
 -105 58.5% BET not counted 23-16 1.5 -3.0 pts
Sep 19 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Spread HOME -5.5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -105 61.8% BET not counted 3-20 -4.5 -1.0 pts
Sep 19 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Spread HOME -5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -105 60.5% BET not counted 3-20 -4.5 -0.5 pts
Sep 19 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Spread HOME -5.5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -105 61.7% BET not counted 3-20 -4.5 -1.0 pts
Sep 19 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13.5
withdrawn at -13.5
 -105 59.1% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 -0.5 pts
Sep 19 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13
withdrawn at -13.5
 -105 57.8% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 +0.0 pts
Sep 19 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13.5
withdrawn at -13.5
 -105 59.1% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 -0.5 pts
Sep 18 Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Spread HOME +2.5
withdrawn at +2.5
 +100 56.0% BET not counted 17-19 1.5 +1.0 pts
Sep 18 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13
withdrawn at -13.5
 -105 57.1% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 +0.0 pts
Sep 18 Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys Spread HOME +3
withdrawn at +3
 -101 61.9% BET not counted 34-31 3.5 -0.5 pts
Sep 18 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Spread HOME -1.5
withdrawn at -1.5
 -105 58.5% BET not counted 23-16 1.5 -3.0 pts
Sep 18 Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders Spread AWAY -2.5
withdrawn at -2.5
 -110 60.8% BET not counted 31-33 8.5 +6.0 pts
Sep 18 Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants Spread HOME -5.5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -110 61.6% BET not counted 7-12 -2.5 -3.0 pts
Sep 18 New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars Spread AWAY +2.5
withdrawn at +2.5
 -105 58.2% BET not counted 6-35 -3.0 -0.5 pts
Sep 18 Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys Spread HOME -4
withdrawn at -4
 -105 65.4% BET not counted 20-37 -4.0 +0.0 pts
Sep 18 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13.5
withdrawn at -13.5
 -105 58.5% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 -0.5 pts
Sep 18 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13
withdrawn at -13.5
 -105 57.1% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 +0.0 pts
Sep 18 Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Spread HOME -8.5
withdrawn at -8.5
 +100 56.6% BET not counted 23-19 -8.0 -0.5 pts
Sep 18 Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers Spread HOME -6.5
withdrawn at -6.5
 -109 67.7% BET not counted 35-14 -4.5 -2.0 pts
Sep 18 Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Spread HOME +2.5
withdrawn at +2.5
 +100 55.2% BET not counted 17-19 1.5 +1.0 pts
Sep 18 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Spread HOME -5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -105 61.1% BET not counted 3-20 -4.5 -0.5 pts
Sep 18 Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers Spread AWAY -2.5
withdrawn at -2.5
 -105 60.7% BET not counted 27-30 3.0 +0.5 pts
Sep 18 Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints Spread HOME -3
withdrawn at -3
 -108 58.0% BET not counted 35-27 -3.5 +0.5 pts
Sep 18 Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Spread HOME +2.5
withdrawn at +2.5
 +100 57.8% BET not counted 17-19 1.5 +1.0 pts
Sep 18 Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets Spread AWAY -3.5
withdrawn at -3.5
 +100 55.8% BET not counted 20-17 3.0 -0.5 pts
Sep 18 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13.5
withdrawn at -13.5
 -105 56.3% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 -0.5 pts
Sep 18 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13.5
withdrawn at -13.5
 -105 56.3% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 -0.5 pts
Sep 17 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Spread HOME -5.5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -105 62.0% BET not counted 3-20 -4.5 -1.0 pts
Sep 17 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Spread HOME -5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -105 60.8% BET not counted 3-20 -4.5 -0.5 pts
Sep 17 Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans Spread HOME -2.5
withdrawn at -2.5
 -105 56.6% BET not counted 20-6 -2.5 +0.0 pts
Sep 17 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Spread HOME -5.5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -105 62.0% BET not counted 3-20 -4.5 -1.0 pts
Sep 17 Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers Spread AWAY -2.5
withdrawn at -2.5
 -105 61.3% BET not counted 27-30 3.0 +0.5 pts
Sep 17 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13.5
withdrawn at -13.5
 -104 56.5% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 -0.5 pts
Sep 17 Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys Spread HOME +3
withdrawn at +3
 -110 66.9% BET not counted 34-31 3.5 -0.5 pts
Sep 17 Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders Spread AWAY -2.5
withdrawn at -2.5
 -110 59.8% BET not counted 31-33 8.5 +6.0 pts
Sep 17 Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins Spread HOME +8.5
withdrawn at +8.5
 -105 58.0% BET not counted 24-10 9.5 -1.0 pts
Sep 17 New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars Spread AWAY +2.5
withdrawn at +2.5
 +100 55.5% BET not counted 6-35 -3.0 -0.5 pts
Sep 17 Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills Spread HOME -5.5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -101 56.7% BET not counted 31-41 -5.5 +0.0 pts
Sep 16 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Spread HOME -5
withdrawn at -5.5
 -105 60.7% BET not counted 3-20 -4.5 -0.5 pts
Sep 16 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13
withdrawn at -13
 -105 56.6% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 +0.0 pts
Sep 16 Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys Spread HOME +3.5
withdrawn at +3.5
 -110 67.7% BET not counted 34-31 3.5 +0.0 pts
Sep 16 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Spread HOME -1.5
withdrawn at -1.5
 -105 56.7% BET not counted 23-16 1.5 -3.0 pts
Sep 16 Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans Spread HOME -2.5
withdrawn at -2.5
 -110 57.8% BET not counted 20-6 -2.5 +0.0 pts
Sep 16 Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears Spread HOME -4.5
withdrawn at -4.5
 -105 59.9% BET not counted 9-3 -4.5 +0.0 pts
Sep 16 Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers Spread HOME -13.5
withdrawn at -13
 -104 59.3% BET not counted 13-35 -13.0 -0.5 pts

Closing line value here is measured in points on the pick's side against the closing number the platform recorded. It is the bettor-facing figure; the model audit on Model CLV keeps its opening-based definition.